This project emerged from an awareness of the growing influence, in both the United States and especially China, of both public and elite attitudes on what many analysts recognize as the increasingly turbulent bilateral security relationship. Its objective is to obtain non-partisan policy-relevant data and insights on the evolving content and influence of such attitudes, as policymakers seek to reduce the likelihood of serious future bilateral crises or conflicts.
Both Washington and Beijing consider good bilateral relations of vital importance. But their growing strategic rivalry has the potential to evolve into mutual antagonism. The hard reality is that China and the United States will not be able to lessen strategic mistrust unless and until they are prepared to address a central question: is there an array of military deployments and normal operations that will permit China to defend its core interests while allowing America to continue fully to meet its defense responsibilities in the region and protect vital U.S. interests?
Is the United States Prepared to see International Institutions Adapted to Reflect China’s Influence?May 01, 2012
KICUS Director, J. Stapleton Roy Discusses China’s increasing influence in international institutions and the idea of international structural change.
The next decade is likely to be the decisive period determining the future course of U.S.-China relations. Unless China and the United States can find ways to block the current drift toward strategic rivalry, tensions will rise.
The international community is taking gradual—yet effective—steps to secure nuclear materials, with Russia “turning the corner from nuclear problem state to nuclear solution state,” Carnegie’s Matthew Rojansky says. In this interview, he and other experts assess the 2012 Nuclear Security Summit in Seoul.
In 1972, President Nixon became the first U.S. President to visit the People's Republic of China. Forty years later, the impact of that historic trip is still evident, as the U.S.-China relationship extends to economics, security, and climate. “The relationship we have now with China is the most important one we have in the world,” said Douglas Spelman, deputy director of the Kissinger Institute on China and the United States. He predicts the many positives of bilateral cooperation will outweigh the negatives of such historically contentious issues as human rights, Taiwan, and religious freedom.
Director J. Stapleton Roy speaks to the vice president of Walt Disney Parks, and leaders in the Chapman University community at a February 9 event on how to "deal with a rising China."
Converting the warm mood music brought by Xi into substantively improved Sino-U.S. ties will demand concessions that both sides are likely to resist.
Vice President Xi Jinping's Visit Very Important, Although it is Unlikely to Resolve Outstanding Problems in the U.S.-China RelationshipFeb 14, 2012
Kissinger Institute Deputy Director, Douglas G. Spelman says the visit is very important, although it is unlikely to resolve outstanding problems in the U.S.-China relationship.
Strategic mistrust between the U.S. and China is escalating, overshadowing their shared interests, says Ambassador J. Stapleton Roy. Vice President Xi Jinping’s visit will not produce immediate results but provides the two countries an opportunity to gain control of their relationship.