Past Event

Preparing for the Unpredictable: The ADB and Natural Disasters, Trade Disputes

In its latest annual report on regional growth prospects, the Asian Development Bank focuses on the impact of natural disasters and ensuring resilience. Join us for a discussion on the causes of disasters, how insurance systems and other market mechanisms could impact risks, and the role of government including infrastructure development and recovery assistance. The ADB’s chief economist will also address findings of the latest Asian Development Outlook including the impact of ongoing trade disputes for the Asia Pacific region including Central Asia, Southeast Asia, East Asia, and the Pacific.

Selected Quotes



 

Yasuyuki Sawada

“Overall, Asia’s growth and inflation focus and prospect seems to be quite good-looking, although growth rate is slightly slowing down. Highest risk, largest risk, we identify is prolonged negotiation... trade negotiation between the U.S. and China.”

“Trade policy uncertainty [in the PRC] is the highest right now. And we can trace back to 1995, when U.S. - PRC had an intellectual property rights tension, that we see a spike. And also when China joined WTO, we see another spike… Using this past uncertainty measure, and also much with the actual investment, business investment measure, we can uncover what is impact on uncertainty on business investment, which is shown in the right figure. Investment goes down if tension increase, especially first four quarters of one year… Actually this uncertainty and change in expectation seems to generate tangible impact on investment, production, and also slowing down of growth.”

Photos



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Header Image Copyright 2013 EUMETSAT.

Hosted By

Indo-Pacific Program

The Indo-Pacific Program promotes policy debate and intellectual discussions on US interests in the Asia-Pacific as well as political, economic, security, and social issues relating to the world’s most populous and economically dynamic region.    Read more

Indo-Pacific Program

Kissinger Institute on China and the United States

The Kissinger Institute works to ensure that China policy serves American long-term interests and is founded in understanding of historical and cultural factors in bilateral relations and in accurate assessment of the aspirations of China’s government and people.   Read more

Kissinger Institute on China and the United States