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Part of Venezuela’s Crisis and Regional Impacts

Election Countdown: Poll Watching in Venezuela

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Is Hugo Chavez sailing toward re-election? Or is challenger Henrique Capriles surging toward upset victory in Venezuela’s election? Your answer might depend on which of the country’s polls you’ve been following. Though major polling firms differ on where the race stands, they seem to agree that the final outcome is almost impossible to predict. We spoke with one of Venezuela’s top pollsters, Luis Vicente Leon, Director of Datanalisis, for an up to the moment analysis of the polling data and the dynamics of the race.

Latin America Program

Is Hugo Chavez sailing toward re-election? Or is challenger Henrique Capriles surging toward upset victory in Venezuela’s election? Your answer might depend on which of the country’s polls you’ve been following. Though major polling firms differ on where the race stands, they seem to agree that the final outcome is almost impossible to predict. We spoke with one of Venezuela’s top pollsters, Luis Vicente Leon, Director of Datanalisis, for an up to the moment analysis of the polling data and the dynamics of the race. Luis Vicente Leon is the Director of Datanalisis, Venezuela's leading polling firm. He is also a professor of economics and market research at the Universidad Catolica Andres Bello and at Instituto de Estudios Superiores en Administracion in Caracas. Since 1992, he has served as a specialist in economic, political, and social forecasting at Datanalisis.

Latin America Program

The Wilson Center’s prestigious Latin America Program provides non-partisan expertise to a broad community of decision makers in the United States and Latin America on critical policy issues facing the Hemisphere. The Program provides insightful and actionable research for policymakers, private sector leaders, journalists, and public intellectuals in the United States and Latin America. To bridge the gap between scholarship and policy action, it fosters new inquiry, sponsors high-level public and private meetings among multiple stakeholders, and explores policy options to improve outcomes for citizens throughout the Americas. Drawing on the Wilson Center’s strength as the nation’s key non-partisan policy forum, the Program serves as a trusted source of analysis and a vital point of contact between the worlds of scholarship and action.   Read more

Latin America Program