The Impact of the War Against Ukraine on Russia's Arctic Posture: Hard Power on Vulnerable Ice

Over the past two decades, Russia has strategically reasserted control over its Arctic territories, driven by economic interests and geopolitical concerns, particularly amidst competition with Western nations and NATO. This effort, extending from the European High North to the Pacific Arctic, involves militarization to safeguard perceived national security interests. Despite ongoing global shifts, such as the invasion of Ukraine and Finland and Sweden's NATO accession, Russia's strategic objectives in the Arctic persist, albeit with a growing sense of vulnerability fueled by climate change and evolving security dynamics.  As circumpolar cooperation falters, understanding Russia's military adaptations in the Arctic, especially in light of the Ukrainian conflict, is essential for shaping effective circumpolar policies. In "The Impact of the War Against Ukraine on Russia's Arctic Posture: Hard Power on Vulnerable Ice," author Mathieu Boulègue, Global Fellow, illuminates Russia's steadfast pursuit of Arctic dominance amidst complex geopolitical and environmental challenges.

This publication was funded by the Russia Strategic Initiative, US European Command. 

The views expressed in this publication do not necessarily represent the views of the Department of Defense or the United States government.